Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.012145 3.565139 4.219528 5.058937 6.118555 7.427243 9.190369e+00
2024-10-20 2.264115 2.954472 3.881798 5.252429 7.287539 10.302633 1.532371e+01
2024-10-27 1.821589 2.516518 3.523474 5.149869 7.837147 12.357756 2.118455e+01
2024-11-03 1.648766 2.394423 3.550323 5.576212 9.284280 16.370707 3.277559e+01
2024-11-10 1.472775 2.223334 3.450302 5.747864 10.330096 20.123322 4.670055e+01
2024-11-17 1.353745 2.116177 3.424381 6.030298 11.675774 25.175873 6.860023e+01
2024-11-24 1.212056 1.945351 3.251016 5.980566 12.300003 28.895726 9.095140e+01
2024-12-01 1.112680 1.831506 3.157976 6.065890 13.264322 34.109885 1.262042e+02
2024-12-08 1.023599 1.722528 3.053640 6.098941 14.116262 39.599415 1.729370e+02
2024-12-15 0.971273 1.673768 3.058246 6.378256 15.748456 48.967390 2.640252e+02
2024-12-22 0.889064 1.556942 2.904283 6.242284 16.138751 54.145267 3.450351e+02
2024-12-29 0.829487 1.477252 2.816515 6.251811 16.996288 62.128167 4.843006e+02
2025-01-05 0.751851 1.362470 2.657611 6.103718 17.520587 70.511517 7.020764e+02
2025-01-12 0.706692 1.310737 2.636816 6.346831 19.673051 91.295965 1.363640e+03
2025-01-19 0.645590 1.216457 2.499592 6.217024 20.362951 105.201886 2.222775e+03
2025-01-26 0.627887 1.212720 2.577124 6.758180 24.260121 151.360790 6.598197e+03
2025-02-02 0.595340 1.171377 2.553663 6.976802 26.951007 197.554074 1.883039e+04
2025-02-09 0.571831 1.147191 2.569549 7.337409 30.751949 272.861651 9.087108e+04
2025-02-16 0.534050 1.084968 2.473600 7.273833 32.229191 328.363089 4.027361e+05
2025-02-23 0.506373 1.043439 2.427285 7.382929 34.928256 422.655926 8.408956e+06
2025-03-02 0.479120 0.999752 2.367784 7.425215 37.325212 534.777170 NaN
2025-03-09 0.463738 0.983423 2.384066 7.783158 42.473050 777.754976 NaN
2025-03-16 0.434648 0.929543 2.281258 7.608781 43.423302 917.248577 NaN